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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura
Apertura - 20
Estadio General Pablo Rojas· Asuncion
Monday, May 11, 2026
23:00
Cerro Porteno
PPG 1.89
0-0
HIT CS3
Guarani
PPG 0.89
Over2.5· -1.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
49.6%
Odds: 1.82
EV: -9.7%
Draw
27.1%
Odds: 3.35
EV: -5.5%
Away
23.3%
Odds: 4.20
EV: -1.3%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.0%
Odds: 2.15
-1.1%
Over 3.5
19.6%
Odds: 3.85
-14.7%
BTTS
49.7%
Odds: 1.90
-5.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
0-0
✔
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro Porteno
1.41
Guarani
0.87
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.89) vs P(Home)=49.6%