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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura logo Paraguay flag Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Apertura - 20 Estadio General Pablo Rojas· Asuncion Monday, May 11, 2026 23:00
Cerro Porteno logo Cerro Porteno PPG 1.89
0-0 HIT CS3
Guarani logo Guarani PPG 0.89
Over2.5· -1.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.6%
Odds: 1.82 EV: -9.7%
Draw 27.1%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -5.5%
Away 23.3%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -1.3%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.0% Odds: 2.15 -1.1%
Over 3.5 19.6% Odds: 3.85 -14.7%
BTTS 49.7% Odds: 1.90 -5.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Cerro Porteno
1.41
Guarani
0.87

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.89) vs P(Home)=49.6%

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