Nueva Chicago vs Almagro Prediction & Tips

Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 13 Estadio Nueva Chicago· Buenos Aires Monday, May 11, 2026 22:30

Nueva Chicago PPG 1.40

1-2 MISS

Almagro PPG 0.33

BTTS· -0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Home 51.6%

Odds: 1.85 EV: -4.5%

Draw 29.5%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -7.8%

Away 18.9%

Odds: 4.50 EV: -9.0%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Over 2.5 34.7% Odds: 2.85 -1.1%

Over 3.5 8.1% Odds: 6.50 -28.4%

BTTS 41.8% Odds: 2.38 -0.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Nueva Chicago

1.22

Almagro

0.40

Model SuggestionHome -4.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -4.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs P(Home)=51.6%