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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 13 Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry· Buenos Aires Monday, May 11, 2026 22:00
Ferro Carril logo Ferro Carril PPG 0.25
2-1 MISS
D. de Belgrano logo D. de Belgrano PPG 1.67
Away· +50.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.1%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -28.3%
Draw 40.3%
Odds: 2.70 EV: +8.8%
Away 32.6%
Odds: 4.60 EV: +50.0%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 33.8% Odds: 3.10 +4.8%
Over 3.5 7.0% Odds: 7.00 -30.6%
BTTS 45.9% Odds: 2.45 +12.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘
2nd 0-1 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ferro Carril
0.69
D. de Belgrano
0.84

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.25)

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