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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Monday, May 11, 2026 20:45 
S. Ameliano PPG 1.44 
D. Recoleta PPG 0.78
Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Monday, May 11, 2026 20:45 S. Ameliano PPG 1.443-2 MISS
D. Recoleta PPG 0.78Home· -0.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.3% Odds: 1.95 -9.7%
Over 3.5 20.0% Odds: 3.35 -19.8%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.70 -11.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
S. Ameliano 1.36
D. Recoleta 0.93
Model Suggestion
BTTS -11.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 34 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 16.7%
Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.78)