Aldosivi vs I. Rivadavia Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Apertura - 9 Estadio Jose Maria Minella· Mar del Plata Sunday, May 3, 2026 16:30

Aldosivi PPG 0.86

1-1 HIT CS3

I. Rivadavia PPG 2.33

Away· +21.1% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Aldosivi face I. Rivadavia in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aldosivi a 16% chance, the draw 32% and I. Rivadavia 52%, so I. Rivadavia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Aldosivi and 1.3 for I. Rivadavia (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aldosivi are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 2.33 for I. Rivadavia. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 15.9%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -46.7%

Draw 32.0%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -5.6%

Away 52.2%

Odds: 2.32 EV: +21.1%

Model lean: Away

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 31.7% Odds: 2.70 -14.4%

Over 3.5 13.9% Odds: 5.50 -23.5%

BTTS 36.5% Odds: 2.15 -21.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Aldosivi

0.64

I. Rivadavia

1.34

Model SuggestionAway +21.1% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5/Under 62%

BTTS/No 69%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -36.4%

Bet Hit 31% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home POOR (0.86)