Velez Sarsfield vs Union Santa Fe Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

Velez Sarsfield face Union Santa Fe in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Velez Sarsfield a 57% chance, the draw 27% and Union Santa Fe 16%, so Velez Sarsfield are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Velez Sarsfield and 0.6 for Union Santa Fe (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Velez Sarsfield are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.00 for Union Santa Fe. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +33.4%. This match finished 2-2.