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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 39 Estadio El Alcoraz· Huesca Monday, May 11, 2026 18:30
Huesca logo Huesca PPG 1.47
1-2 MISS
Real Sociedad B logo Real Sociedad B PPG 0.79
Away· +54.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.5%
Odds: 1.76 EV: -34.0%
Draw 27.9%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +0.3%
Away 34.6%
Odds: 4.45 EV: +54.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.4% Odds: 2.00 -5.2%
Over 3.5 24.2% Odds: 3.60 -7.7%
BTTS 52.5% Odds: 1.85 -2.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Huesca
1.30
Real Sociedad B
1.20

Model Suggestion

BTTS -2.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+54.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 54%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away POOR (0.79)

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