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Peru - Primera División logo Peru flag Peru - Primera División Apertura - 14 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega· Cusco Monday, May 11, 2026 18:00
D. Garcilaso logo D. Garcilaso PPG 1.83
2-1 MISS
Alianza A. logo Alianza A. PPG 0.83
Away· +57.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.1%
Odds: 1.71 EV: -36.6%
Draw 32.1%
Odds: 3.45 EV: +10.8%
Away 30.8%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +57.1%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.9% Odds: 2.25 -1.2%
Over 3.5 14.8% Odds: 4.20 -22.7%
BTTS 48.1% Odds: 2.05 -1.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

D. Garcilaso
1.04
Alianza A.
0.98

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=37.1%

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