Neom SC vs Al Shabab Prediction & Tips

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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 32 King Khalid Sports City· Tabuk Monday, May 11, 2026 16:50

Neom SC PPG 1.20

2-1 HIT CS2

Al Shabab PPG 0.87

Home· +1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.0%

Odds: 2.25 EV: +1.3%

Draw 26.9%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -1.9%

Away 28.1%

Odds: 2.88 EV: -11.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.70 -11.1%

Over 3.5 30.1% Odds: 2.80 -15.7%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.57 -14.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Neom SC

1.52

Al Shabab

1.25

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+1.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.87)