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Vorskla Poltava vs Prykarpattia Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 24 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 09:00

Vorskla Poltava

PPG 1.55 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Prykarpattia

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.4%0-111.7%0-24.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.1%1-113.0%1-24.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.5%2-17.2%2-22.7%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.5%3-12.7%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% 41.7% 2.40 +4.9%

Draw 31.4% 36.4% 2.75 -13.7%

Away win 24.8% 34.5% 2.90 -28.1%

Over 2.5 28.8% — — —

Over 3.5 12.0% — — —

BTTS 35.7% 52.4% 1.91 -31.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob35.7%

H 44% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 29% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.1%

#2 0–0 15.4%

#3 1–1 13.0%

#4 0–1✓ 11.7%

#5 2–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vorskla Poltava1.1

Prykarpattia0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 28.8% · O3.5 PROB 12.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VORSKLA POLTAVA · PPG 1.55

PRYKARPATTIA · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.55), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Vorskla Poltava (H) 43.7%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +4.9%

Draw 31.4%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -13.7%

Prykarpattia (A) 24.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -28.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vorskla Poltava face Prykarpattia in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vorskla Poltava a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Prykarpattia 25%, so Vorskla Poltava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Vorskla Poltava and 0.8 for Prykarpattia (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vorskla Poltava are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.27 for Prykarpattia. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Vorskla Poltava vs Prykarpattia Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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