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Vorskla Poltava vs Prykarpattia Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Ukraine - Persha Liga logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Persha Liga Regular Season - 24 Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho· Poltava Saturday, April 18, 2026 09:00
Vorskla Poltava logo Vorskla Poltava PPG 1.55
0-1 HIT CS4
Prykarpattia logo Prykarpattia PPG 1.27
Home· +4.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Vorskla Poltava face Prykarpattia in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vorskla Poltava a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Prykarpattia 25%, so Vorskla Poltava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Vorskla Poltava and 0.8 for Prykarpattia (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vorskla Poltava are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.27 for Prykarpattia. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.7%
Odds: 2.40 EV: +4.9%
Draw 31.4%
Odds: 2.75 EV: -13.7%
Away 24.8%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -28.1%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 28.8% Odds: —
Over 3.5 12.0% Odds: —
BTTS 35.7% Odds: 1.91 -31.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Vorskla Poltava
1.11
Prykarpattia
0.76

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 49%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 53%
ROI 5.2%
Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.55), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org