← Back to picks
Indonesia - Liga 1 logo Indonesia flag Indonesia - Liga 1 Regular Season - 32 Sumpah Pemuda· Bandar Lampung Monday, May 11, 2026 12:00
Bhayangkara S. logo Bhayangkara S. PPG 2.00
3-1 MISS
Madura Utd logo Madura Utd PPG 1.07
Home· +16.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.7%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +16.3%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -10.3%
Away 23.2%
Odds: 2.85 EV: -20.3%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.85 -3.2%
Over 3.5 28.9% Odds: 3.20 -4.5%
BTTS 52.4% Odds: 1.67 -12.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Bhayangkara S.
1.76
Madura Utd
0.96

Model Suggestion

BTTS -12.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 49%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -7.4%
Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=51.7%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org