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Brazil - Serie A logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 15 Estádio São Januário· Rio de Janeiro Sunday, May 10, 2026 23:30
Vasco da Gama logo Vasco da Gama PPG 1.86
1-0 HIT CS4
Athletico PR logo Athletico PR PPG 0.67
Away· +33.9% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.0%
Odds: 1.92 EV: -25.1%
Draw 27.1%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -5.5%
Away 33.9%
Odds: 3.95 EV: +33.9%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 2.10 +10.9%
Over 3.5 27.1% Odds: 3.85 +2.6%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.85 +1.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasco da Gama
1.39
Athletico PR
1.24

Model Suggestion

BTTS +1.0% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Away(+33.9%)

League Track Record

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=39.0%

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