S. Luqueno vs Libertad Prediction & Tips

Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Apertura - 20 Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio· Luque Sunday, May 10, 2026 23:00

S. Luqueno PPG 1.11

2-3 MISS

Libertad PPG 0.78

Home· +23.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.4%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +23.8%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -9.8%

Away 35.7%

Odds: 2.15 EV: -23.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 2.15 -0.0%

Over 3.5 21.7% Odds: 4.00 -7.9%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.85 -3.2%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

S. Luqueno

1.18

Libertad

1.20

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+23.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 47%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 16.7%

Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.11) > Away POOR (0.78)