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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura logo Uruguay flag Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Apertura - 15 Gran Parque Central· Montevideo Sunday, May 10, 2026 22:30
Nacional logo Nacional PPG 1.17
4-0 MISS
Cerro logo Cerro PPG 0.17
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 27.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 21.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: —
Over 3.5 22.6% Odds: —
BTTS 48.2% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Nacional
1.75
Cerro
0.67

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 54%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -42.4%
Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.17) vs P(Home)=52.0%

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