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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura logo Uruguay flag Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Apertura - 14 Parque Artigas· Las Piedras Sunday, May 3, 2026 15:00
Boston River logo Boston River PPG 1.00
2-1 MISS
Central Espanol logo Central Espanol PPG 1.57
Away· +20.6% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.2%
Odds: 2.18 EV: -29.8%
Draw 30.7%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -4.8%
Away 37.1%
Odds: 3.25 EV: +20.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.1% Odds: 2.20 +1.4%
Over 3.5 24.6% Odds: 4.20 +3.3%
BTTS 53.1% Odds: 1.85 -1.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Boston River
1.21
Central Espanol
1.31

Model Suggestion

BTTS -1.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -1.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+20.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.57) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

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