← Back to picks 
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Monday, May 4, 2026 22:30 
Penarol PPG 1.57 
Defensor S. PPG 0.86
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Monday, May 4, 2026 22:30 Penarol PPG 1.571-1 HIT CS2
Defensor S. PPG 0.86Away· +28.5% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 32.0% Odds: 2.20 -29.6%
Over 3.5 14.0% Odds: 4.20 -41.2%
BTTS 41.1% Odds: 2.05 -15.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 0-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✔
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Penarol 1.11
Defensor S. 0.88
Model Suggestion
No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 28 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 54%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -42.4%
Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
MODERATE_HOME 75%
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away POOR (0.86)