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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura logo Uruguay flag Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Apertura - 15 Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla· Melo Monday, May 11, 2026 23:30
Cerro Largo logo Cerro Largo PPG 1.17
2-3 MISS
Penarol logo Penarol PPG 2.00
Home· +29.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.3%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +29.7%
Draw 32.1%
Odds: 3.50 EV: +12.3%
Away 38.6%
Odds: 1.65 EV: -36.3%
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.4% Odds: 2.10 -23.6%
Over 3.5 14.0% Odds: 3.70 -28.9%
BTTS 48.1% Odds: 1.95 -6.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Cerro Largo
0.84
Penarol
1.14

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.17)

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