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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura
Apertura - 15
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla· Melo
Monday, May 11, 2026
23:30
Cerro Largo
PPG 1.17
2-3
MISS
Penarol
PPG 2.00
Home· +29.7%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
29.3%
Odds: 5.10
EV: +29.7%
Draw
32.1%
Odds: 3.50
EV: +12.3%
Away
38.6%
Odds: 1.65
EV: -36.3%
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
36.4%
Odds: 2.10
-23.6%
Over 3.5
14.0%
Odds: 3.70
-28.9%
BTTS
48.1%
Odds: 1.95
-6.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro Largo
0.84
Penarol
1.14
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.17)