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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Sunday, May 10, 2026 14:00 
Defensor S. PPG 2.33 
Juventud PPG 0.33
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Sunday, May 10, 2026 14:00 Defensor S. PPG 2.331-2 MISS
Juventud PPG 0.33Home· +8.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 35.1% Odds: 2.15 -24.5%
Over 3.5 12.0% Odds: 4.00 -31.2%
BTTS 45.9% Odds: 1.85 -15.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensor S. 1.29
Juventud 0.58
Model Suggestion
No Bet ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 28 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 54%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -42.4%
Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=49.7%