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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:30 
Progreso PPG 0.71 
Cerro Largo PPG 1.00
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:30 Progreso PPG 0.710-1 HIT CS3
Cerro Largo PPG 1.00Draw· -0.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 40.9% Odds: 2.35 -3.9%
Over 3.5 20.4% Odds: 4.50 -8.2%
BTTS 49.0% Odds: 1.93 -5.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 0-1 ✔
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 1-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Progreso 1.11
Cerro Largo 1.21
Model Suggestion
No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 28 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 54%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -42.4%
Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.71), Away AVERAGE (1.00)