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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Monday, May 11, 2026 20:00 
D. Maldonado PPG 2.50 
Boston River PPG 1.17
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Monday, May 11, 2026 20:00 D. Maldonado PPG 2.502-1 HIT CS5
Boston River PPG 1.17Home· -4.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 47.4% Odds: 2.00 -5.2%
Over 3.5 24.5% Odds: 3.40 -10.0%
BTTS 49.7% Odds: 1.80 -10.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
D. Maldonado 1.75
Boston River 0.76
Model Suggestion
Home -4.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -4.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 28 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 54%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -42.4%
Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=52.5%