Today / Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura / Central Espanol vs Racing CM

Central Espanol vs Racing CM Prediction— Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura

Apertura - 15 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 21:30

Central Espanol

PPG 1.67 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Racing CM

PPG 2.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs Home GOOD (1.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-111.4%0-29.2%0-35.0%0-4+2.9%1 1-07.3%1-111.8%1-29.5%1-35.2%1-4+3.0%2 2-03.8%2-16.1%2-24.9%2-32.7%2-4+1.6%3 3-01.3%3-12.1%3-21.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.6% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 45.4% — — —

Over 2.5 52.8% — — —

Over 3.5 27.6% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 7.4%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob54.6%

A 45% / xG 1.0-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 0–1 11.4%

#3 1–2 9.5%

#4 0–2 9.2%

#5 0–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Central Espanol1.0

Racing CM1.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRAL ESPANOL · PPG 1.67

RACING CM · PPG 2.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs Home GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Central Espanol (H) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Racing CM (A) 45.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Central Espanol face Racing CM in Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Central Espanol a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Racing CM 45%, so Racing CM are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Central Espanol and 1.6 for Racing CM (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Central Espanol are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.67 for Racing CM. This match finished 2-0.

Central Espanol vs Racing CM Prediction— Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura

Match Preview & Prediction

More Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Predictions