Cusco vs Los Chankas Prediction & Tips

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Peru - Primera División Apertura - 14 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega· Cusco Sunday, May 10, 2026 22:30

Cusco PPG 2.17

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Los Chankas PPG 1.83

Away· +62.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.7%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -36.5%

Draw 26.7%

Odds: 3.75 EV: +0.1%

Away 36.6%

Odds: 4.45 EV: +62.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.80 -4.4%

Over 3.5 29.5% Odds: 3.00 -6.9%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.70 -7.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Cusco

1.30

Los Chankas

1.44

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+62.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 64%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 54% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.17) > Away GOOD (1.83)