Santos vs Bragantino Prediction & Tips

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Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 15 Estádio Urbano Caldeira· Santos Sunday, May 10, 2026 21:30

Santos PPG 1.57

2-0 MISS

Bragantino PPG 1.43

Away· +10.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.5%

Odds: 2.24 EV: -18.2%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -4.1%

Away 35.7%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +10.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 2.10 -2.4%

Over 3.5 21.9% Odds: 3.85 -9.4%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.85 -3.2%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Santos

1.23

Bragantino

1.16

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+10.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away AVERAGE (1.43)