Today / Ukraine - Persha Liga / Nyva Ternopil vs Livyi Bereh

Nyva Ternopil vs Livyi Bereh Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 24 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Nyva Ternopil

PPG 1.09 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Livyi Bereh

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.9%0-117.2%0-29.3%0-33.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.1%1-113.0%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-04.6%2-15.0%2-22.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.2%3-11.3%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.5% 15.4% 6.50 +65.8%

Draw 31.9% 29.4% 3.40 +8.5%

Away win 42.7% 69.4% 1.44 -38.5%

Over 2.5 28.0% — — —

Over 3.5 11.5% — — —

BTTS 35.1% 45.5% 2.20 -22.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob35.1%

A 43% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 28% / NoBTTS 35%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.2%

#2 0–0✓ 15.9%

#3 1–1 13.0%

#4 1–0 12.1%

#5 0–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nyva Ternopil0.8

Livyi Bereh1.1

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 28.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NYVA TERNOPIL · PPG 1.09

LIVYI BEREH · PPG 1.73

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.73) vs Home AVERAGE (1.09)

Win probability 1X2

Nyva Ternopil (H) 25.5%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +65.8%

Draw 31.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +8.5%

Livyi Bereh (A) 42.7%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -38.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nyva Ternopil face Livyi Bereh in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nyva Ternopil a 26% chance, the draw 32% and Livyi Bereh 43%, so Livyi Bereh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Nyva Ternopil and 1.1 for Livyi Bereh (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nyva Ternopil are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.73 for Livyi Bereh. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +65.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Nyva Ternopil vs Livyi Bereh Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ukraine - Persha Liga Predictions