Nyva Ternopil vs Livyi Bereh Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Ukraine - Persha Liga Regular Season - 24 Ternopilsky Misky Stadion· Ternopil Saturday, April 18, 2026 12:00

Nyva Ternopil PPG 1.09

0-0 HIT CS2

Livyi Bereh PPG 1.73

Home· +65.8% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nyva Ternopil face Livyi Bereh in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nyva Ternopil a 26% chance, the draw 32% and Livyi Bereh 43%, so Livyi Bereh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Nyva Ternopil and 1.1 for Livyi Bereh (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nyva Ternopil are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.73 for Livyi Bereh. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +65.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.5%

Odds: 6.50 EV: +65.8%

Draw 31.9%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +8.5%

Away 42.7%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -38.5%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 28.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 11.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 35.1% Odds: 2.20 -22.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Nyva Ternopil

0.76

Livyi Bereh

1.08

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 49%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 5.2%

Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.73) vs Home AVERAGE (1.09)