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Colon Santa Fe vs All Boys Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 21:00

Colon Santa Fe

PPG 2.33 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

All Boys

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-029.1%0-19.6%0-21.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-026.3%1-18.7%1-21.4%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.9%2-13.9%2-20.6%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.6%3-11.2%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% 52.6% 1.90 -17.7%

Draw 39.0% 34.5% 2.90 +13.1%

Away win 17.7% 22.7% 4.40 -13.3%

Over 2.5 25.4% 33.3% 3.00 -14.3%

Over 3.5 3.7% 14.3% 7.00 -44.5%

BTTS 29.3% 40.8% 2.45 -16.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob29.3%

H 43% / xG 0.9-0.3 / U2.5 25% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 29.1%

#2 1–0 26.3%

#3 2–0 11.9%

#4 1–1 8.7%

#5 0–1 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Colon Santa Fe0.9

All Boys0.3

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.4% · O3.5 PROB 3.7%

Form & verdict PPG

COLON SANTA FE · PPG 2.33

ALL BOYS · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=43.3%

Win probability 1X2

Colon Santa Fe (H) 43.3%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -17.7%

Draw 39.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +13.1%

All Boys (A) 17.7%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -13.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Colon Santa Fe face All Boys in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colon Santa Fe a 43% chance, the draw 39% and All Boys 18%, so Colon Santa Fe are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Colon Santa Fe and 0.3 for All Boys (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colon Santa Fe are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.20 for All Boys. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +13.1%. This match finished 3-2.

Colon Santa Fe vs All Boys Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera Nacional Predictions