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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura logo Paraguay flag Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Apertura - 20 Estadio Defensores del Chaco Sunday, May 10, 2026 20:45
San Lorenzo logo San Lorenzo PPG 0.67
1-0 MISS
Olimpia logo Olimpia PPG 2.11
Over2.5· +1.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 12.3%
Odds: 5.70 EV: -17.9%
Draw 23.7%
Odds: 3.85 EV: -5.3%
Away 64.0%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -2.1%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.93 +1.9%
Over 3.5 26.9% Odds: 3.35 -5.9%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.95 -6.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-3
4th 1-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

San Lorenzo
0.52
Olimpia
2.10

Model Suggestion

Away -2.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -2.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+1.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 16.7%
Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs Home POOR (0.67)

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