New York City vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 13 Yankee Stadium· Bronx Sunday, May 10, 2026 20:30

New York City PPG 1.14

3-0 MISS

Columbus Crew PPG 0.80

Over3.5· +41.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.8%

Odds: 2.40 EV: +9.9%

Draw 25.2%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -6.3%

Away 29.0%

Odds: 2.70 EV: -13.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.70 +4.9%

Over 3.5 50.6% Odds: 2.80 +41.7%

BTTS 62.9% Odds: 1.57 -1.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

New York City

2.04

Columbus Crew

1.66

Model SuggestionBTTS -1.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-1.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.14) > Away POOR (0.80)