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Chornomorets vs P. Horodenka Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Ukraine - Persha Liga logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Persha Liga Regular Season - 24 Stadion Chornomorets· Odesa Saturday, April 18, 2026 13:30
Chornomorets logo Chornomorets PPG 2.36
1-0 HIT CS2
P. Horodenka logo P. Horodenka PPG 1.18
Home· +13.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chornomorets face P. Horodenka in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chornomorets a 80% chance, the draw 16% and P. Horodenka 4%, so Chornomorets are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Chornomorets and 0.3 for P. Horodenka (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 24% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chornomorets are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 1.18 for P. Horodenka. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.6%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 80.0%
Odds: 1.42 EV: +13.6%
Draw 15.6%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -40.7%
Away 4.4%
Odds: 7.00 EV: -69.2%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.0% Odds: 2.15 -5.4%
Over 3.5 22.9% Odds: —
BTTS 23.7% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 0-0
5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Chornomorets
2.12
P. Horodenka
0.31

Model Suggestion

Home +13.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 49%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 53%
ROI 5.2%
Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.36), Away AVERAGE (1.18) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org