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Argentina - Primera Nacional
Regular Season - 13
Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena· Salta
Sunday, May 10, 2026
20:00
Central Norte
PPG 1.25
2-3
MISS
D. Madryn
PPG 0.83
Away· +11.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
24.7%
Odds: 2.40
EV: -24.4%
Draw
41.1%
Odds: 2.65
EV: +8.9%
Away
34.2%
Odds: 3.25
EV: +11.2%
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
25.8%
Odds: 2.90
-15.1%
Over 3.5
4.0%
Odds: 6.00
-45.6%
BTTS
41.8%
Odds: 2.20
-8.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
0-1
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
1-1
✘
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Norte
0.53
D. Madryn
0.73
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 99 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
42%
O2.5/Under
76%
BTTS/No
66%
Score Hit
74%
ROI
0.3%
Bet Hit
47%
(17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.83)