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Godoy Cruz vs Racing Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 19:30

Godoy Cruz

PPG 1.67 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Racing Cordoba

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.6%0-112.2%0-23.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.4%1-112.0%1-23.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.1%2-16.0%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.3%3-12.0%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.7% 59.9% 1.67 -30.4%

Draw 33.6% 32.3% 3.10 +4.2%

Away win 24.7% 17.4% 5.75 +25.2%

Over 2.5 35.1% 36.4% 2.75 -3.5%

Over 3.5 7.6% 18.2% 5.50 -34.9%

BTTS 45.9% 40.8% 2.45 +12.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.9%

H 42% / xG 1.0-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.6%

#2 1–0 20.4%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 0–1 12.2%

#5 2–0 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Godoy Cruz1.0

Racing Cordoba0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 7.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GODOY CRUZ · PPG 1.67

RACING CORDOBA · PPG 0.80

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=41.7%

Win probability 1X2

Godoy Cruz (H) 41.7%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -30.4%

Draw 33.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +4.2%

Racing Cordoba (A) 24.7%

ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV +25.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Godoy Cruz face Racing Cordoba in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Godoy Cruz a 42% chance, the draw 34% and Racing Cordoba 25%, so Godoy Cruz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Godoy Cruz and 0.6 for Racing Cordoba (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Godoy Cruz are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.80 for Racing Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +25.2%. This match finished 2-1.

Godoy Cruz vs Racing Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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