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Brazil - Serie A logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 15 Arena MRV· Belo Horizonte Sunday, May 10, 2026 19:00
Atletico MG logo Atletico MG PPG 1.83
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Botafogo logo Botafogo PPG 1.29
Over3.5· +69.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.7%
Odds: 2.14 EV: -15.0%
Draw 25.3%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -8.4%
Away 35.0%
Odds: 3.25 EV: +13.8%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.95 +20.3%
Over 3.5 49.0% Odds: 3.45 +69.0%
BTTS 62.7% Odds: 1.75 +9.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico MG
1.85
Botafogo
1.77

Model Suggestion

BTTS +9.7% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+69.0%)

League Track Record

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.83) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

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