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Agropecuario vs A. Atlanta Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 19:00

Agropecuario

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

A. Atlanta

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.1%0-115.3%0-29.0%0-33.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-011.3%1-113.2%1-27.8%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-04.9%2-15.7%2-23.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.4%3-11.6%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.4% 42.6% 2.35 -21.4%

Draw 29.5% 35.7% 2.80 -10.4%

Away win 43.1% 32.3% 3.10 +33.6%

Over 2.5 45.8% 36.4% 2.75 +25.9%

Over 3.5 15.0% 16.7% 6.00 -6.0%

BTTS 48.2% 46.5% 2.15 +3.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.2%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0✓ 13.1%

#3 0–1 15.3%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Agropecuario0.9

A. Atlanta1.2

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 15.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AGROPECUARIO · PPG 1.50

A. ATLANTA · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Agropecuario (H) 27.4%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -21.4%

Draw 29.5%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -10.4%

A. Atlanta (A) 43.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +33.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Agropecuario face A. Atlanta in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Agropecuario a 27% chance, the draw 30% and A. Atlanta 43%, so A. Atlanta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Agropecuario and 1.2 for A. Atlanta (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Agropecuario are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.50 for A. Atlanta. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Agropecuario vs A. Atlanta Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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