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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 32 King Abdullah Sports City· Jeddah Sunday, May 10, 2026 18:00
Al Ittihad logo Al Ittihad PPG 1.87
2-1 HIT CS4
Damak logo Damak PPG 0.73
Away· +21.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.0%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -24.5%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 4.50 EV: +11.3%
Away 22.6%
Odds: 6.00 EV: +21.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.62 -14.5%
Over 3.5 26.3% Odds: 2.60 -19.0%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.73 -9.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Ittihad
1.78
Damak
0.81

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -14.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+21.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.87) vs P(Home)=51.0%

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