Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.62 -14.5%
Over 3.5 26.3% Odds: 2.60 -19.0%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.73 -9.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✔
5th 0-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -14.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+21.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B... HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.87) vs P(Home)=51.0%