Today / Spain - Segunda División / Cordoba vs Granada

Cordoba vs Granada Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Regular Season - 39 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 16:30

Cordoba

PPG 1.56 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Granada

PPG 1.16 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-18.8%0-25.4%0-32.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.1%1-112.4%1-27.6%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.1%2-18.7%2-25.3%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.3%3-14.1%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.0%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.7% 58.5% 1.71 -28.7%

Draw 27.6% 27.0% 3.70 +1.3%

Away win 30.7% 21.7% 4.60 +41.2%

Over 2.5 52.8% 55.6% 1.80 -5.0%

Over 3.5 27.1% 33.3% 3.00 -11.2%

BTTS 54.6% 58.8% 1.70 -7.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 9.7%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 42% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.2%

#3 2–1 8.7%

#4 1–0✓ 10.1%

#5 1–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cordoba1.4

Granada1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CORDOBA · PPG 1.56

GRANADA · PPG 1.16

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.16)

Win probability 1X2

Cordoba (H) 41.7%

ODDS 1.71 · IMPLIED 58.5% EV -28.7%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +1.3%

Granada (A) 30.7%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +41.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cordoba face Granada in Spain - Segunda División on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cordoba a 42% chance, the draw 28% and Granada 31%, so Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Cordoba and 1.2 for Granada (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cordoba are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.16 for Granada. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +41.2%. This match finished 1-0.

Cordoba vs Granada Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Spain - Segunda División Predictions