Slaven Belupo vs Gorica Prediction & Tips

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Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 34 Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas· Koprivnica Sunday, May 10, 2026 16:15

Slaven Belupo PPG 1.63

1-0 HIT CS4

Gorica PPG 1.06

Over2.5· +3.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.0%

Odds: 2.38 EV: -0.0%

Draw 27.4%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -6.6%

Away 30.6%

Odds: 2.78 EV: -14.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.95 +3.0%

Over 3.5 27.4% Odds: 3.40 -4.1%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.70 -7.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Slaven Belupo

1.42

Gorica

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+3.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)