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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 32 Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium· Riyadh Sunday, May 10, 2026 16:05
Al Riyadh logo Al Riyadh PPG 0.93
1-0 MISS
Al Fateh logo Al Fateh PPG 0.73
Away· +12.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.2%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -21.9%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -3.2%
Away 36.4%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +12.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.62 -3.9%
Over 3.5 32.8% Odds: 2.55 -16.4%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.50 -11.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 0-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Riyadh
1.39
Al Fateh
1.50

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+12.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -4.1%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away POOR (0.73)

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