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Italy - Serie A
Regular Season - 36
Stadio Ennio Tardini· Parma
Sunday, May 10, 2026
16:00
Parma
PPG 1.06
2-3
MISS
AS Roma
PPG 1.47
Home· +37.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
24.5%
Odds: 6.60
EV: +37.0%
Draw
29.8%
Odds: 4.00
EV: +11.5%
Away
45.6%
Odds: 1.50
EV: -31.6%
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.1%
Odds: 2.00
-29.8%
Over 3.5
12.3%
Odds: 3.55
-33.8%
BTTS
45.9%
Odds: 2.10
-3.6%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
0-1
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
0-2
✘
5th
1-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Parma
0.66
AS Roma
1.23
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.06) vs Away AVERAGE (1.47)