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Norway - Eliteserien logo Norway flag Norway - Eliteserien Regular Season - 8 Romssa Arena· Tromso Sunday, May 10, 2026 15:00
Tromso logo Tromso PPG 2.17
2-0 HIT CS4
Molde logo Molde PPG 1.33
Away· -1.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.9%
Odds: 1.90 EV: -9.0%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -3.2%
Away 25.8%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -1.9%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.83 -2.8%
Over 3.5 29.8% Odds: 3.00 -6.4%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.67 -8.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Tromso
1.61
Molde
1.15

Model Suggestion

BTTS -8.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 51%
BTTS/No 51%
Score Hit 51%
ROI 5.7%
Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs P(Home)=47.9%

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