Today / Norway - Eliteserien / KFUM Oslo vs Viking

KFUM Oslo vs Viking Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Matchday 8 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 15:00

KFUM Oslo

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWDL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Viking

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 65% chance

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-19.1%0-210.0%0-37.2%0-4+6.6%1 1-04.1%1-19.0%1-29.9%1-37.2%1-4+6.5%2 2-02.1%2-14.5%2-24.9%2-33.6%2-4+3.2%3 3-00.7%3-11.5%3-21.6%3-31.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.3% 23.8% 4.20 -21.4%

Draw 24.8% 23.1% 4.33 +4.4%

Away win 59.9% 59.9% 1.67 +0.0%

Over 2.5 60.2% 67.6% 1.48 -10.9%

Over 3.5 39.2% 45.5% 2.20 -13.8%

BTTS 54.6% 67.6% 1.48 -19.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 93 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 9.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob54.6%

A 60% / xG 1.0-2.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 0–2✓ 10.0%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 9.1%

#5 0–3 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KFUM Oslo1.0

Viking2.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KFUM OSLO · PPG 2.00

VIKING · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

65%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

KFUM Oslo (H) 15.3%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -21.4%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +4.4%

Viking (A) 59.9%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV +0.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

KFUM Oslo face Viking in Norway - Eliteserien on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KFUM Oslo a 15% chance, the draw 25% and Viking 60%, so Viking are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for KFUM Oslo and 2.2 for Viking (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KFUM Oslo are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Viking. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +4.4%. This match finished 0-2.

KFUM Oslo vs Viking Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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