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Spain - La Liga
Regular Season - 38
Estadio de La Cartuja· Sevilla
Saturday, May 23, 2026
19:00
Real Betis
PPG 1.83
2-1
HIT CS2
Levante
PPG 0.89
Home· +15.7%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
51.4%
Odds: 2.25
EV: +15.7%
Draw
24.4%
Odds: 3.35
EV: -11.0%
Away
24.2%
Odds: 3.05
EV: -15.7%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.6%
Odds: 1.70
-10.6%
Over 3.5
31.0%
Odds: 2.70
-16.3%
BTTS
52.6%
Odds: 1.55
-18.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✔
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Betis
1.80
Levante
1.01
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-10.6%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 70 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
51%
O2.5/Under
60%
BTTS/No
64%
Score Hit
56%
ROI
-19.9%
Bet Hit
42%
(26 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=51.4%