Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Tips

Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 38 Estadio Mendizorrotza· Vitoria-Gasteiz Saturday, May 23, 2026 19:00

Alaves PPG 1.50

1-2 MISS

Rayo Vallecano PPG 0.89

Draw· +2.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 42.1%

Odds: 2.42 EV: +1.9%

Draw 30.5%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +2.2%

Away 27.3%

Odds: 2.80 EV: -14.1%

Result: Away ✘

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.00 -7.6%

Over 3.5 17.9% Odds: 3.50 -22.4%

BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.75 -13.9%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Alaves

1.19

Rayo Vallecano

1.00

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 64%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -19.9%

Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.89)