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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 38 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix· Palma de Mallorca Saturday, May 23, 2026 19:00
Mallorca logo Mallorca PPG 1.67
3-0 MISS
Real Oviedo logo Real Oviedo PPG 0.56
Away· +25.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.1%
Odds: 1.45 EV: -24.5%
Draw 25.7%
Odds: 4.45 EV: +8.6%
Away 22.2%
Odds: 6.40 EV: +25.3%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.85 -11.9%
Over 3.5 22.8% Odds: 3.20 -16.2%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 2.05 +5.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Mallorca
1.59
Real Oviedo
0.85

Model Suggestion

Home -24.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -24.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+25.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=52.1%

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