Spain - La LigaRegular Season - 38Estadi Mallorca Son Moix· Palma de MallorcaSaturday, May 23, 202619:00
MallorcaPPG 1.67
3-0MISS
Real OviedoPPG 0.56
Away· +25.3%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home52.1%
Odds: 1.45EV: -24.5%
Draw25.7%
Odds: 4.45EV: +8.6%
Away22.2%
Odds: 6.40EV: +25.3%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.547.6%Odds: 1.85-11.9%
Over 3.522.8%Odds: 3.20-16.2%
BTTS51.6%Odds: 2.05+5.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd1-0✘
3rd2-0✘
4th0-0✘
5th2-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Mallorca
1.59
Real Oviedo
0.85
Model Suggestion
Home-24.5%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -24.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+25.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=52.1%