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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Sunday, May 10, 2026 13:00 
Turan PPG 1.93 
Karvan PPG 0.43
Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Sunday, May 10, 2026 13:00 Turan PPG 1.931-0 HIT CS2
Karvan PPG 0.43Away· +14.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.60 -25.6%
Over 3.5 25.4% Odds: 2.45 -22.7%
BTTS 47.2% Odds: 2.05 -3.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✔
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Turan 2.03
Karvan 0.52
Model Suggestion
Home -20.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -20.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 32 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 69%
ROI 23.6%
Bet Hit 57% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=64.0%