Today / Ukraine - Persha Liga / Viktoriya M. vs Inhulets

Viktoriya M. vs Inhulets Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 27 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 08:00

Viktoriya M.

PPG 1.69 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Inhulets

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.9%0-112.5%0-26.6%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.8%1-113.5%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.9%2-17.2%2-23.8%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.5%3-12.6%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 35.5% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 16.7% — — —

BTTS 51.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.0%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 11.9%

#3 1–0 12.8%

#4 0–1 12.5%

#5 2–1 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viktoriya M.1.1

Inhulets1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKTORIYA M. · PPG 1.69

INHULETS · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Win probability 1X2

Viktoriya M. (H) 36.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Inhulets (A) 35.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Viktoriya M. face Inhulets in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viktoriya M. a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Inhulets 36%, so Viktoriya M. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Viktoriya M. and 1.1 for Inhulets (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viktoriya M. are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.46 for Inhulets. This match finished 2-2.

Viktoriya M. vs Inhulets Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ukraine - Persha Liga Predictions