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Indonesia - Liga 1 logo Indonesia flag Indonesia - Liga 1 Regular Season - 32 Mandala Krida Stadium· Yogyakarta Sunday, May 10, 2026 12:00
PSIM Yogyakarta logo PSIM Yogyakarta PPG 1.27
2-0 MISS
Malut United logo Malut United PPG 1.67
Over2.5· -2.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.0%
Odds: 2.75 EV: -17.5%
Draw 26.6%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -4.1%
Away 43.4%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -2.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.65 -2.2%
Over 3.5 34.4% Odds: 2.60 -10.6%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.50 -11.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

PSIM Yogyakarta
1.25
Malut United
1.70

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -2.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.27) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

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