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Werder Bremen W vs CZ Jena W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:00

Werder Bremen W

PPG 2.08 · HOME

7 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

CZ Jena W

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-13.4%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.9%1-18.0%1-23.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.6%2-19.6%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.5%3-17.6%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.9%4+-18.0%4+-23.6%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.5% 80.0% 1.25 -26.9%

Draw 22.6% 18.5% 5.40 +13.2%

Away win 18.9% 11.1% 9.00 +42.1%

Over 2.5 60.2% 70.4% 1.42 -14.5%

Over 3.5 41.7% 48.8% 2.05 -14.5%

BTTS 54.6% 56.5% 1.77 -3.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -6.1%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 58% / xG 2.4-0.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.6%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.0%

#4 3–0 8.5%

#5 1–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Werder Bremen W2.4

CZ Jena W0.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 41.7%

Form & verdict PPG

WERDER BREMEN W · PPG 2.08

CZ JENA W · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.08) vs P(Home)=58.5%

Win probability 1X2

Werder Bremen W (H) 58.5%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -26.9%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV +13.2%

CZ Jena W (A) 18.9%

ODDS 9.00 · IMPLIED 11.1% EV +42.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Werder Bremen W face CZ Jena W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Werder Bremen W a 59% chance, the draw 23% and CZ Jena W 19%, so Werder Bremen W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Werder Bremen W and 0.9 for CZ Jena W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Werder Bremen W are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 0.67 for CZ Jena W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +42.1%. This match finished 7-0.

Werder Bremen W vs CZ Jena W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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