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Eichstatt vs Nurnberg B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 29 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Eichstatt

PPG 1.62 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Nurnberg B

PPG 2.23 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-111.8%0-27.3%0-33.0%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.6%1-113.1%1-28.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.9%2-17.3%2-24.5%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.2%3-12.7%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.2% 33.9% 2.95 -2.1%

Draw 27.9% 29.0% 3.45 -3.7%

Away win 38.9% 46.5% 2.15 -16.4%

Over 2.5 41.7% 59.9% 1.67 -30.4%

Over 3.5 21.1% 37.0% 2.70 -43.0%

BTTS 47.7% 65.4% 1.53 -27.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.7%

A 39% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–1 11.8%

#3 1–0 10.6%

#4 0–0 9.5%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eichstatt1.1

Nurnberg B1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

EICHSTATT · PPG 1.62

NURNBERG B · PPG 2.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs Home GOOD (1.62)

Win probability 1X2

Eichstatt (H) 33.2%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -2.1%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -3.7%

Nurnberg B (A) 38.9%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -16.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eichstatt face Nurnberg B in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eichstatt a 33% chance, the draw 28% and Nurnberg B 39%, so Nurnberg B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Eichstatt and 1.2 for Nurnberg B (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eichstatt are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 2.23 for Nurnberg B. This match finished 2-2.

Eichstatt vs Nurnberg B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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