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Meshakhte vs Dila Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:00

Meshakhte

PPG 0.80 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Dila Gori

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-030.0%0-122.5%0-28.5%0-32.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.6%1-110.2%1-23.8%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-03.1%2-12.3%2-20.9%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.5%3-10.4%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.9% 23.1% 4.33 -0.5%

Draw 42.1% 30.3% 3.30 +38.9%

Away win 35.0% 57.8% 1.73 -39.5%

Over 2.5 24.1% 44.4% 2.25 -27.5%

Over 3.5 3.4% 24.7% 4.05 -51.7%

BTTS 29.3% 50.3% 1.99 -25.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob29.3%

A 35% / xG 0.5-0.8 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 30.0%

#2 0–1 22.5%

#3 1–0 13.6%

#4 1–1 10.2%

#5 0–2✓ 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meshakhte0.5

Dila Gori0.8

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 24.1% · O3.5 PROB 3.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MESHAKHTE · PPG 0.80

DILA GORI · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Meshakhte (H) 22.9%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -0.5%

Draw 42.1%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +38.9%

Dila Gori (A) 35.0%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -39.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Meshakhte face Dila Gori in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meshakhte a 23% chance, the draw 42% and Dila Gori 35%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for Meshakhte and 0.8 for Dila Gori (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meshakhte are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.80 for Dila Gori. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +38.9%. This match finished 0-2.

Meshakhte vs Dila Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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