Today / Spain - Segunda División / FC Andorra vs Las Palmas

FC Andorra vs Las Palmas Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Regular Season - 39 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:00

FC Andorra

PPG 1.42 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Las Palmas

PPG 1.39 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away AVERAGE (1.39)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.1%0-112.5%0-27.0%0-32.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.9%1-113.4%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.4%2-17.2%2-24.0%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.3%3-12.6%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% — — —

Draw 28.4% — — —

Away win 35.8% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 18.0% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 9.7%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.6%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.1%

#3 0–1 12.5%

#4 1–0 11.9%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Andorra1.1

Las Palmas1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ANDORRA · PPG 1.42

LAS PALMAS · PPG 1.39

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away AVERAGE (1.39)

Win probability 1X2

FC Andorra (H) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Las Palmas (A) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Andorra face Las Palmas in Spain - Segunda División on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Andorra a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Las Palmas 36%, so FC Andorra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for FC Andorra and 1.1 for Las Palmas (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Andorra are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.39 for Las Palmas. This match finished 5-1.

FC Andorra vs Las Palmas Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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