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Hrvace vs Opatija Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Regular Season - 30 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 11:45

Hrvace

PPG 1.71 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Opatija

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.5%0-110.3%0-23.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.7%1-112.6%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.8%2-17.7%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.4%3-13.1%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.7% 43.5% 2.30 +7.4%

Draw 28.2% 34.5% 2.90 -10.9%

Away win 25.1% 35.7% 2.80 -17.8%

Over 2.5 35.1% 45.5% 2.20 -22.8%

Over 3.5 13.1% 26.7% 3.75 -30.5%

BTTS 48.2% 54.1% 1.85 -10.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -10.0%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.2%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.5%

#2 1–0 17.7%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.8%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hrvace1.2

Opatija0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 13.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HRVACE · PPG 1.71

OPATIJA · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=46.7%

Win probability 1X2

Hrvace (H) 46.7%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +7.4%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.9%

Opatija (A) 25.1%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -17.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hrvace face Opatija in Croatia - First NL on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hrvace a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Opatija 25%, so Hrvace are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Hrvace and 0.7 for Opatija (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hrvace are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.80 for Opatija. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.4%. This match finished 0-2.

Hrvace vs Opatija Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Croatia - First NL Predictions